Arch Manning leads Texas comeback, Ohio State remains DraftKings favorite after 24-23 loss
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- Texas beat Ohio State 24-23 after a 20-point fourth-quarter comeback led by Arch Manning (per nypost.com)
- Texas rose to +650 on DraftKings’ board and is now listed behind Ohio State in futures pricing (per nypost.com)
- Ohio State sank to No. 6 in the AP Top 25 following the loss while Texas rose to No. 1 (per nypost.com)
- Ohio State previously won the 2024 national title after suffering two regular-season losses that season, including a 32-31 loss to Oregon and a 13-0 loss to Michigan (per nypost.com)
Texas staged a 20-point fourth-quarter comeback to beat No. 1 Ohio State 24-23, a result powered by quarterback Arch Manning that vaulted Texas to No. 1 in the AP Top 25 and left Ohio State sliding to No. 6 (per nypost.com).
The surprising market response came from DraftKings, which shortened Ohio State’s odds from +550 to +530 while moving Texas to +650 on the futures board, a pricing shift DraftKings Director of Sports Operations Johnny Avello explained as evidence that a single regular-season loss to a contender carries less damage in the expanded College Football Playoff era (per nypost.com).
For bettors and bracket-watchers, the game’s result produced an unusual divergence: on the field, Ohio State suffered a historic collapse; on betting sheets, the Buckeyes remained the betting favorite, suggesting markets weigh long-term roster and schedule context over one loss (per nypost.com).
Ohio State’s resilience in futures markets also rests on precedent — the program won the 2024 national title despite two regular-season defeats that campaign, including a 32-31 loss to Oregon and a 13-0 shutout by Michigan, evidence the DraftKings director and market pricing implicitly use when assessing title probability (per nypost.com).
The immediate practical consequence is that Ohio State retains the shortest price to win the national championship despite the upset, while Texas’s climb to No. 1 and improved futures price mark a significant reputational and market gain for Arch Manning’s team (per nypost.com).
Looking ahead, the DraftKings move signals bettors will watch Ohio State’s remaining schedule and the strength of Texas’s follow-up performances more than treating this result as an elimination event; teams and bettors will now parse whether Ohio State’s multiple losses in 2024 and this comeback loss form a pattern or remain isolated data points for markets and the expanded playoff selection process to weigh (per nypost.com).
- - Ohio State fans and season ticket holders face concrete financial stakes: the Buckeyes remain the shortest-priced team at DraftKings (+530), which affects betting exposure and hedging decisions among Ohio State–aligned bettors (per nypost.com). - Texas players and boosters gained ranking and market value—Texas rose to No. 1 in the AP Top 25 and to +650 on DraftKings, improving the Longhorns’ national profile and recruiting/endorsement leverage tied to high-profile wins (per nypost.com). - Sports bettors bear direct monetary risk from framing this as a survivable loss for favorites; DraftKings’ pricing change shows markets may centralize historical program strength over single-game outcomes, shifting how bettors allocate capital (per nypost.com). - College Football Playoff selectors and committee-watchers will weigh Ohio State’s history of winning the 2024 title despite regular-season losses, a precedent that benefits Ohio State in narratives used by bettors and analysts (per nypost.com).
Whether Ohio State wins its next scheduled games and how those results move DraftKings futures from +530. 2) Whether Texas sustains top-ranked performance in its next games, which would further compress or invert the DraftKings pricing at the +650 threshold. 3) Whether DraftKings or other major sportsbooks adjust Ohio State or Texas futures following the next full weekend of play (specific sportsbooks named: DraftKings) by the next rankings update.
Left- and right-leaning outlets are covering this story differently — in which facts to emphasize, which context to include, and how to frame causes and consequences.
7 specific areas where coverage diverges — see below.
- nypost.com emphasizes bettors’ and markets’ reaction—shortened Ohio State odds at DraftKings—even though Ohio State lost on the field (per nypost.com)
- No source disputes the game score or DraftKings pricing, but only nypost.com is provided so external corroboration of market moves is not present (per nypost.com)
- No source in this pack mentions the exact date of the game in Month Day Year form; the timing is described only as 'Saturday' in the provided text (per nypost.com).
- No source quantified betting handle, dollar volumes wagered, or how much money shifted on DraftKings after the game (no outlet provided these figures).
- No source discussed the College Football Playoff committee’s criteria or potential official responses to a one-loss No. 6 team versus a No. 1 team.
- Only nypost.com provides the draft odds figures: Ohio State moved from +550 to +530 and Texas to +650 (per nypost.com)
- nypost.com links DraftKings’ odds shortening for Ohio State to the 'expanded College Football Playoff era' as an explanatory cause, a market interpretation rather than a direct causal mechanism (per nypost.com)
- nypost.com attributes the market explanation to DraftKings Director of Sports Operations Johnny Avello (per nypost.com)